2026

The cyber-versus-physical asymmetry in post-quantum migration reflects vendor prioritization rather than technical feasibility. The PACS industry has four years to align with a deprecation window the supplier channel is not yet building toward, and the security leader's job is to know which vendors are on the roadmap and which will be replaced before the procurement window narrows.

The multi-theater pattern of U.S. preemptive force employment reveals constraint erosion rather than doctrinal evolution. Venezuela and Iran share an operational pattern, not a strategic framework, and the probability distribution for Iran's resolution slightly favors a peace narrative over military action because the constraints that still bind are physical and electoral, not legal or institutional.